Posts Tagged ‘brexit’

#Business optimism falls at fastest pace since Brexit vote – CBI


Business optimism has fallen at its fastest pace since the Brexit vote of 2016, according to the latest reading by the CBI. The business lobby group's latest Industrial Trends survey noted a ...

Labour will be forced to oppose May’s Brexit deal, Sadiq Khan warns EU


Sadiq Khan will emphasise Labour’s opposition to the free trade deal being negotiated in Brussels. Photograph: Guy Bell/Rex/Shutterstock Sadiq Khan has sent a message to the EU that he believes Labour ...

No-Deal Brexit Fears for# UK – EU Scientists


Leading Scientists are pleading with Theresa May and Jean-Claude-Juncker to avoid a so-called no-deal Brexit – which they say could damage British and European research. In a letter signed by 29 Nobel ...

Theresa May briefs cabinet on Brexit negotiations – politics live

Rolling coverage of the day’s political events including the latest developments in the Brexit saga

The UK police’s ability to tackle serious and organised crime could be “significantly impacted” by a no-deal Brexit, the chief of the National Crime Agency has warned.

It's always an early start but today is especially so as I head off to @BBCRadio4. The threat from serious & organised crime, the risks of a solely reactive policing response & why it's time to review capacity/capability

We are working very closely with our policing partners because we are deeply concerned about the consequences of a no-deal Brexit.

We have been clear from the very beginning that our ability to share intelligence, our ability to jointly investigate - in this world where there are no borders because of technology - could be significantly impacted, particularly through the use of the Schengen information system, European arrest warrants and our ability to deploy overseas.

Whenever I talk to my operational partners overseas, they see there is two-way benefit, but, of course, we aren’t politicians.

David Davis’ former chief of staff was under fire on Tuesday for tweeting that the family of a sick child were cretins because of an EU-flag bedcover, writes my colleague Jessica Elgot.

Tory Brexiteers fuming this morning about Jackson. "It tars all Brexiteers with this vile brush. It’s a real worry that a man with such appalling judgment could be Chief of Staff in No10 if DD ousts the PM," one texts.

David Davis’s chief of staff calls hospitalised child a “pathetic cretin” for… some reason pic.twitter.com/lMkzTw2Eaf

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Remainer or Leaver? The emergence of the Brexit identity prism

ian montaguBritons used to identify as supporters of a political party. Now they are more likely to identify themselves as a ‘Remainer’ or a ‘Leaver’. Ian Montagu (ScotCen) looks at the challenges this new political divide presents as Britain prepares to leave the EU.

The past half-century has seen a more or less continuous decline in the number of voters who say that they identify with a political party. While this development has meant that the choices made by many voters may now be more likely to reflect their policy preferences, it has also been seen as resulting in an electorate that is more difficult to motivate to turn out and vote in the first place.

umbrella

Photo: Ros Taylor

In the wake of Brexit, however, it appears that new political identities may have emerged. Sara Hobolt has argued that voters have developed a sense of emotional attachment with being a ‘Remainer’ or a ‘Leaver’, and that these identities have in turn become a prism through which the Brexit debate is interpreted.

New research undertaken using NatCen’s mixed-mode random probability panel supports this claim. Brexit identities are now much more prevalent than traditional party identities – while 31% of people don’t think of themselves as a supporter of a political party, only 11% don’t think of themselves as a ‘Remainer’ or a ‘Leaver’. Even more tellingly, 44% say that they are a ‘very strong’ Remainer or Leaver, while only 9% say they identify ‘very strongly’ with a political party.

This development might go some way to explaining why, as the WhatUKThinks Poll of Polls illustrates, support for both Remain and Leave has been so stable during the Brexit negotiations. Those with strong Brexit identities are particularly unlikely to change their minds about the merits of their decision in 2016 – 99% of ‘very strong’ and 94% of ‘fairly strong’ Remainers report that they would vote the same way again, as do 98% of ‘very strong’ and 94% of ‘fairly strong’ Leavers.

Those with a strong Brexit identity often have distinctive views about some of the key issues in the debate about Britain’s future relationship with the EU. For example, while requiring migrants from the EU to apply to come to Britain in the same way as those from outside the EU is relatively popular among Remainers as well as Leavers, a far lower proportion of those who identify ‘very strongly’ with Remain are in favour of this idea.

This pattern is echoed in voters’ attitudes to whether or not Britain should allow freedom of movement for EU citizens in return for the continuation of free trade with the EU. While most Remainers are divided between those who think that Britain ‘probably should’ be willing to strike such a deal and those who believe that it ‘probably should not’, a relatively high proportion of ‘very strong’ Remainers (62%) believe that Britain ‘definitely should’ allow free movement in return for free trade. Similarly, while 18% of ‘not very strong’ Leavers believe that Britain ‘definitely should not’ allow free movement in return for free trade, at 41% the proportion of ‘very strong’ Leavers who feel that Britain ‘definitely should not’ strike such a deal is more than twice this size.

Those with a strong Brexit identity also make a different assessment of how likely or unlikely it is that Britain will emerge with a good deal from the EU – those who identify ‘very strongly’ with Remain are most likely to think that Britain will emerge with a bad deal, while ‘very strong’ Leavers are most likely to believe that Britain will negotiate a good deal.

Finally, the strength of voters’ Brexit identity is reflected in who they believe is to blame for the prospect of a bad deal, with ‘very strong’ Remainers particularly likely to feel that the UK government has been handling the talks badly and ‘very strong’ Leavers especially critical of the EU. Both groups are seemingly attributing blame in a way that reinforces their existing views, with Leavers inclined to blame the EU because they dislike the institution itself while Remainers lay the fault at the door of the UK government because they disagree with its attempt to leave the EU in the first place.

The emergence of these new identities over the past two years may have a positive impact upon levels of turnout – those with a strong Brexit identity were more likely to have voted in both the EU referendum (86%) and in the subsequent 2017 General Election (87%) than those with no sense of Brexit identity (50% and 51% respectively). However, the prevalence and strength of Remain and Leave as new political identities illustrates just how deep the Brexit chasm now runs – and how much of a challenge it may prove to bridge it.

This post represents the views of the author and not those of the Brexit blog, nor the LSE.

Ian Montagu is a Senior Researcher at the Scottish Centre for Social Research (ScotCen).

Parliament Dishonoured by Contempt and Lack of Any Virtue

Parliament Dishonoured by Contempt and Lack of Any Virtue

In 2009, the story broke about MP`s and their ridiculous (criminal) claims for expenses. What also became clear was the unbelievable system allowing for claiming such monies. It was held up to much ridicule and a forensic examination at that time.

Further investigation of individuals and their spurious claims was halted in 2010, when over 10,000 documents and files were “mistakenly” shredded rendering any investigation impotent of evidence.

Fast forward to today and nothing has changed. In fact, it could be said that things have gotten very much worse. Parliament is to anyone`s naked eye a cesspit. MP`s have even recently broken unwritten rules about `vote pairing` for those who cannot make important votes. The trust such as it was between Whips and MP`s of differing parties seems to have dissipated completely.

John Bercow, the Speaker of the house, is under enormous pressure to stand down due to a report by Dame Laura Cox QC. This is a damming report; and make no mistake, in any other institution he would be gone. Whistleblowing is gathering a pace with complaints from ex staffers ranging from bullying to sexual assault against a plethora of MP`s and civil servants within the Westminster bubble.

In a surprising move though and at a critical time in the Brexit negotiations, Lady Nugee, aka Emily Thornbury, the shadow Labour Foreign Secretary and Dame Margaret Beckett, also Labour, believing that Bercow would be sympathetic to the Labour stance on negotiations called for him to stay in place. So much for women`s equality.

The monies involved in expense claims is staggering. In the financial year 2009-10 £98 million in expenses were claimed by MP`s. Yes you have read that correctly, £98 million.  MP for Tottenham David Lammy (Labour) claimed the highest fees for expenses at £173,922. He still claims a similar amount year on year. Dan Jarvis the Barnsley MP claimed a mere £520 that year for travel and food costs, the disparity is not lost on this author.

46 MP`s  (25 Tories, 14 Labour and 4 Liberal-Democrats) own homes within an hour of Parliament where they work. They choose though to live in hotels and claim for these hotel rooms whilst renting out those homes. Labour MP Chris Bryant claimed expenses of £35,350 in 2012/13 and 2013/14 to rent a London flat whilst already owning a penthouse in the capital.

The Brexit situation has clearly divided a nation. At this time you would look to these elected political representatives to steady the ship and no matter what your view on the subject, you would, as they had promised to, expect our chosen representatives to carry out the will of the people. Many though have become totally derelict in that duty. Erring on the side of “getting re-elected” they have chosen the alternative view, calling for a supposed “peoples vote” which is to all intents and purposes a re-run of the first referendum from 2016. This is doing great damage to and could completely render as defunct, democracy in this country.

I can in all common sense arrive at no other opinion other than Parliament and those elected to operate from within, is and are not fit for purpose. Changes need to be made and with a first past the post electoral system that is not going to come through the ballot box.

I can only therefore, foresee a return to the vestages of 1653 and the dissolution of Parliament by a Cromwellian figure if things do not improve. I leave you with this, Cromwell`s speech prior to that dissolution. The language is of the time but translate it yourselves in to the modern vernacular and you will see how I have arrived at my analogy.

It’s high time for me to put an end to your sitting in this place.

Ye are a factious crew, and enemies to all good government.which you have dishonored by your contempt of all virtue, and defiled by your practice of every vice.

Ye are a pack of mercenary wretches, and would like Esau sell your country for a mess of pottage, and like Judas betray your God for a few pieces of money.

Is there a single virtue now remaining amongst you? Is there one vice you do not possess?

Ye have no more religion than my horse. Gold is your God. Which of you have not bartered your conscience for bribes? Is there a man amongst you that has the least care for the good of the Commonwealth?

Ye sordid prostitutes have you not defiled this sacred place, and turned the Lord’s temple into a den of thieves, by your immoral principles and wicked practices?

Ye are grown intolerably odious to the whole nation. You were deputed here by the people to get grievances redressed, are yourselves become the greatest grievance.

Your country therefore calls upon me to cleanse this Augean stable, by putting a final period to your iniquitous proceedings in this House; and which by God’s help, and the strength he has given me, I am now come to do.

I command ye therefore, upon the peril of your lives, to depart immediately out of this place.

Go, get you out! Make haste! Ye venal slaves be gone! So! Take away that shining bauble there, and lock up the doors.

In the name of God, go!

The post Parliament Dishonoured by Contempt and Lack of Any Virtue appeared first on UKIP Daily | UKIP News | UKIP Debate.

My constituents backed Brexit. But I didn’t enter politics to make them poorer | Phil Wilson

Now we know what leaving means, let’s do the right thing and have a second referendum

In normal times and in all good faith, politicians at a general election present a manifesto they believe will improve people’s lives. Politicians of a like mind will largely agree with that manifesto, believing it to be better than the alternative. In government, with all good intentions, the manifesto is implemented – maybe not in its entirety and with compromises being made. That is politics, in normal times.

But these are not normal times. Brexit is different. As an MP who campaigned for Remain during the EU referendum in June 2016, I do not believe I can, in all good faith and with all good intentions, tell my electorate that I have changed my mind. First, my constituents won’t believe me. And second, I did not enter politics to knowingly make my constituents poorer. This presents a moral dilemma for Remain-supporting MPs, especially those whose constituents voted to leave.

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